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GeneratorChecker

Power Outage Risk in Indiana

Indiana outages are usually not about one tornado headline but about repeated severe-storm, flood, and winter events hitting dense counties.

Indiana sits in an inland storm corridor where flood and winter disruptions overlap with large medical-load counties like Marion, Lake, Allen, and St. Joseph.

73,144 electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries statewide, with Marion, Lake, Allen, and St. Joseph clearing the public BPI threshold
FEMA National Risk Index (NRI)
72.5 / 100
Relatively Low
FEMA Declarations (2014-2023)
5 Major incidents
Highest Risk Window
Mar-Jun

Inland Storm, Flood, and Winter Exposure

JanJunDec

What drives outage risk in Indiana

Winter Weather 74.5
FEMA Decl.
Hurricane 28.3
FEMA Decl.
Wildfire 24.6
FEMA Decl.
Biological Not scored by NRI
FEMA Decl. 2

Why Indiana is different

Indiana is easy to flatten into a generic winter state, but the stronger planning signal is an inland storm-and-flood state where winter support still matters once outages extend. NOAA's outage-relevant record is dominated by thunderstorm wind, flood, winter storm, and flash flood activity, while the state's top modeled hazards are tornado and strong wind rather than cold alone.

The county overlap is also strong enough to make this a metro essentials problem, not just a weather problem. HHS emPOWER counts 73,144 electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries statewide, and the public BPI layer flags Marion, Lake, Allen, and St. Joseph. That means backup planning should emphasize refrigeration, communications, and medical continuity first, then add winter support for the households that need it.

Notable Recent Events

Severe Storms and Flooding (2023)

FEMA DR-4704 covers Indiana severe storms and flooding from March to April 2023.

Source: FEMA DR-4704

Evidence trail

State source notes

These notes trace the editorial claims above back to FEMA, DOE, utility, or other cited records.

5 notes
  1. 1 OpenFEMA API

    FEMA declaration count (5) from OpenFEMA API, deduplicated by disaster number, DR/EM/FM types, 2014-2023.

  2. 2 FEMA NRI county layer

    NRI composite score (72.5) from FEMA NRI county layer, population-weighted to state level; top modeled hazards are Tornado, Strong Wind, and Earthquake.

  3. 3 NOAA Storm Events 2005-2024

    NOAA outage-relevant event mix is led by Thunderstorm Wind (8,896), Flood (2,228), Winter Storm (1,349), and Flash Flood (1,292), with Gibson, Marion, and Lake leading county counts.

  4. 4 HHS emPOWER + GeneratorChecker BPI review

    HHS emPOWER counts 73,144 electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries statewide; Marion, Lake, Allen, and St. Joseph qualify in the public BPI layer.

  5. Indiana Severe Storms and Flooding DR-4704 from FEMA disaster declaration records.

Structured FEMA NRI, HHS emPOWER, NOAA Storm Events, and EIA methodology is documented separately on the methodology page.

NRI's top modeled hazards are Tornado, Strong Wind, and Earthquake, while NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by Thunderstorm Wind, Flood, Winter Storm, and Flash Flood events..

Historical Storm Patterns in Indiana

NOAA storm-event records filtered to outage-relevant event types for Indiana. Counts reflect historical storm-event assignments, not confirmed utility outages.

Official data GeneratorChecker analysis

Analysis window

2005-01 to 2024-12

Included storm-event records

16,543

Source as of

2026-03

Included exact NOAA event types for Indiana: Thunderstorm Wind, Tornado, High Wind, Strong Wind, Flash Flood, Flood, Winter Storm, Ice Storm, Freezing Rain, Heavy Snow, Blizzard.

Hazard seasonality

In this filtered NOAA record set for Indiana, Jun has the highest monthly count (3,014 records) , and Thunderstorm Wind is the leading event type. This chart shows frequency in NOAA records, not how severe a specific outage may be.

Sorted Jan–Dec
Jan 1,139
Feb 1,708
Mar 1,413
Apr 1,268
May 1,839
Jun 3,014
Jul 2,223
Aug 1,343
Sep 587
Oct 322
Nov 623
Dec 1,064

Top outage-relevant event types

  1. 1. Thunderstorm Wind 8,896
  2. 2. Flood 2,228
  3. 3. Winter Storm 1,349

    72 events were not mapped to a county ranking.

  4. 4. Flash Flood 1,292
  5. 5. Heavy Snow 691

    27 events were not mapped to a county ranking.

  6. 6. Tornado 687

Counties with highest historical outage-relevant storm event frequency

  1. 1. GIBSON 443

    79.2% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  2. 2. MARION 410

    84.6% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  3. 3. LAKE 393

    83.0% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  4. 4. POSEY 346

    72.5% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  5. 5. KNOX 338

    90.8% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  6. 6. ALLEN 336

    85.1% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

Coverage and limitations

With the current Indiana NWS county crosswalk, mapped forecast zones are effectively 1:1 with counties; unresolved legacy or coastal forecast zones fall into the excluded bucket.

Direct county match

78.2%

Mapped from forecast zone

20.9%

Not assigned to county ranking

0.9%

Unresolved forecast zones

3

  • Forecast-zone events with no current NWS county crosswalk entry are excluded from county-level rankings.
  • Forecast-zone events are mapped with the current NWS county crosswalk, which may not exactly match historical zone boundaries across the full analysis window.
  • Counts reflect historical NOAA storm event records, not confirmed utility outage counts.
  • Marine event types remain excluded from this state contract even when coastal impacts may be operationally relevant.

Medical Outage Sensitivity in Indiana

County-level HHS emPOWER counts for electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries in Indiana.

Official data

73,144 Medicare beneficiaries in Indiana have claims associated with electricity-dependent medical equipment. (HHS emPOWER, 2026-03)

County-level HHS emPOWER records for this state. Medicare enrollment data only. 92 counties are included in this state snapshot.

Counties by total count

  1. 1. Marion 8,189
  2. 2. Lake 5,197
  3. 3. Allen 3,081
  4. 4. St Joseph 2,193
  5. 5. Madison 1,931

Counties by share of Medicare beneficiaries

Counties with at least 1,000 Medicare beneficiaries
  1. 1. Sullivan 8.1%
  2. 2. Wayne 8.1%
  3. 3. Scott 7.9%
  4. 4. Warren 7.8%

    Smaller Medicare base; interpret this percentage with extra caution.

  5. 5. Washington 7.8%
GeneratorChecker analysis

Counties with higher concentrations may face elevated community-level demand for backup power during outages. This does not indicate individual medical necessity.

Limitations: Reflects Medicare beneficiaries with claims associated with electricity-dependent medical equipment. Does not capture non-Medicare or uninsured populations. HHS masks cells from 1 to 10 as 11.

GeneratorChecker BPI BPI v1.0 · NOAA 2005-2024 · HHS emPOWER 2026-03

Backup Priority Index in Indiana

The GeneratorChecker Backup Priority Index is a county shortlist for backup planning, combining historically frequent outage-relevant storm activity with larger county counts of electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries. It is planning context, not a forecast or an outage guarantee.

Official data GeneratorChecker analysis

BPI version

v1.0

Analysis window

2005-01 to 2024-12

Matched counties

92

Counties qualify for the public BPI only when both signals land at or above the 80th percentile within the state. The shortlist excludes low-base medical counties and counties with less than 30% direct NOAA county matching.

Qualifying counties shown on the page: 5.

Top BPI counties in this state

Percentiles are computed within Indiana only and are not comparable across states.

Source notes
  1. 1. MARION

    County FIPS 18097

    Storm frequency · Top 1% statewide Medical exposure · Top 1% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    8,189

    Storm-event records

    410

    Direct NOAA county match

    84.6%

  2. 2. LAKE

    County FIPS 18089

    Storm frequency · Top 2% statewide Medical exposure · Top 1% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    5,197

    Storm-event records

    393

    Direct NOAA county match

    83.0%

  3. 3. ALLEN

    County FIPS 18003

    Storm frequency · Top 5% statewide Medical exposure · Top 2% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    3,081

    Storm-event records

    336

    Direct NOAA county match

    85.1%

  4. 4. ST. JOSEPH

    County FIPS 18141

    Storm frequency · Top 10% statewide Medical exposure · Top 3% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    2,193

    Storm-event records

    295

    Direct NOAA county match

    95.9%

  5. 5. VANDERBURGH

    County FIPS 18163

    Storm frequency · Top 7% statewide Medical exposure · Top 8% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    1,772

    Storm-event records

    308

    Direct NOAA county match

    69.5%

How to read the BPI

  • BPI qualifies a county only when both the NOAA outage-relevant storm signal and the HHS emPOWER medical-count signal are at or above the 80th percentile within the state.
  • The medical signal uses total county count of electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries, not the share of beneficiaries within each county.
  • Counties with weak direct NOAA county matching stay out of the public BPI list even when their storm percentile is high.
  • Percentiles are computed within each state only and are not comparable across states.
  • The BPI is a planning layer. It does not claim a forecast, a utility reliability score, or an individualized medical-risk assessment.

Size your backup for Indiana

Start with essentials and medical continuity, then add heating support if your home depends on blower power in winter.

MOST POPULAR

24-hour inland essentials

Refrigeration, communications, and medical continuity for the shorter severe-storm and flood outages common in Indiana.

French Door Refrigerator WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

338W

Target

24h

Minimum

13,400 Wh

This is the more general Indiana case for mixed storm and flood outages in large counties.

Size this scenario in calculator

48-hour winter support

Add heating-system support for households whose fuel-fired heat still depends on blower power during a longer winter outage.

French Door Refrigerator Gas Furnace Fan (Blower) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

1396W

Target

48h

Minimum

110,100 Wh

This assumes a fuel-fired furnace or boiler still needs blower power. Homes using electric heat should model a different heating profile.

Size this scenario in calculator

Critical Note: No single portable power station in our database covers the full 24-hour baseline at this load (13,400 Wh target vs. 6,144 Wh max in our current database). Use solar recharge, load rotation, or expandable systems for longer events.

Common mistakes in Indiana

  • Treating Indiana like a pure winter state and missing how often storm and flood events drive the outage window.

  • Planning around a single tornado narrative instead of the repeated mixed events that shape runtime needs.

  • Ignoring dense-county medical loads when sizing for outages in Indianapolis, Lake County, or Fort Wayne.

Top mistake: Buying for a short weather event when flood cleanup and repeated storms often push Indiana outages beyond the first day.

Data Sources & Methodology

NRI risk details

Composite score: 72.5 / 100

Rating: Relatively Low

Top modeled hazards: Tornado, Strong Wind, Earthquake

Hurricane score: 28.3

Winter Weather score: 74.5

Wildfire score: 24.6

FEMA declaration breakdown

Total (2014-2023): 5

Most recent: 2023-04-15 Severe Storm

Type Count
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Flood 1
Sizing formula

Required Wh = (Total Load W × Target Hours / Inverter Derate) × Safety Factor

Inverter derate: 0.70 (30% real-world loss)

Safety factor: 1.15

Rounding: Up to nearest 100 Wh

Historical utility-reported and modeled data. Your experience may vary.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is outage risk in Indiana?

Indiana has an NRI composite risk score of 72.5 (Relatively Low), with 5 federal declarations from 2014 to 2023. NRI's top modeled hazards are Tornado, Strong Wind, and Earthquake, while NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by Thunderstorm Wind, Flood, Winter Storm, and Flash Flood events..

What backup size should I target in Indiana?

For the primary scenario on this page (24-hour inland essentials), the estimated minimum is 13,400 Wh for a 24-hour target. Refine this in the calculator with your actual devices.

Why do modeled risk and declaration history sometimes differ?

NRI is a modeled risk index based on hazard exposure, vulnerability, and expected loss. FEMA declarations reflect federally declared incidents. They answer different questions — use both signals together for planning.

What are the most common outage-planning mistakes in Indiana?

Buying for a short weather event when flood cleanup and repeated storms often push Indiana outages beyond the first day. See the common mistakes section above for more state-specific pitfalls.