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Power Outage Risk in Michigan

Wind events and cold snaps drive recurring seasonal outages, especially outside metro areas.

Strong Wind as top NRI hazard with 9 federal declarations (2014-2023)
NRI Risk Score
82.1 / 100
Relatively High
FEMA Declarations (2014-2023)
9 Major incidents
Highest Risk Window
Apr-Aug

Cold-Season and Wind-Season Exposure

JanJunDec

What drives outage risk in Michigan

Winter Weather 79.0
FEMA Decl.
Hurricane 41.6
FEMA Decl.
Wildfire 39.8
FEMA Decl.
Biological N/A
FEMA Decl. 2

Why Michigan is different

Michigan's grid struggles are persistent and well documented by state regulators. DTE Energy, the primary utility in southeast Michigan, and Consumers Energy, serving the western and central portions of the state, together account for the vast majority of residential electric service.

In February 2023, an ice storm coated the region with a quarter-inch of ice, and DTE reported that roughly 630,000 customers lost power. The company's president called it the largest storm in DTE's history by customer count. A second ice storm struck two days later, compounding restoration delays. Some customers waited seven days or more for power to return. The Michigan Public Service Commission tracks outage events for regulated utilities across the state. For DTE and Consumers Energy, the Commission's data shows that storms triggering more than 20,000 customer outages occur multiple times per year.

For backup sizing, Michigan's ice storm pattern is significant because it strikes during peak heating season. Cold temperatures immediately follow the ice event, raising the stakes for households without power. Portable stations need to support heating loads and should not rely on solar recharge alone during short winter daylight hours.

Notable Recent Events

Midland Dam Failures (2020)

Federal disaster declaration for dam failures and flooding requiring evacuation of thousands of residents in Midland County.

Source: FEMA DR-4547

NRI winter weather score of 79 and composite of 82.1 reflect year-round wind and cold exposure.

Size your backup for Michigan

Build for dependable essentials first, then reserve margin for seasonal repeats.

MOST POPULAR

24-hour winter essential

Circulation fan, communications, and medical support during a winter outage.

Box Fan (20-inch) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

214W

Target

24h

Minimum

8,500 Wh

Fan is for air circulation, not heating โ€” power stations cannot safely run resistive heaters.

Size this scenario in calculator

Extended cold snap

Add refrigeration to preserve food during a multi-day grid outage.

French Door Refrigerator Box Fan (20-inch) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

421W

Target

48h

Minimum

33,300 Wh

Consider expandable systems or solar for events beyond 48 hours.

Size this scenario in calculator

Critical Note: No single portable power station in our database covers the full 24-hour baseline at this load (6,144 Wh max). Use solar recharge, load rotation, or expandable systems for longer events.

Data Sources & Methodology

NRI risk details

Composite score: 82.1 / 100

Rating: Relatively High

Top modeled hazards: Strong Wind, Cold Wave, Tornado

Hurricane score: 41.6

Winter Weather score: 79.0

Wildfire score: 39.8

FEMA declaration breakdown

Total (2014-2023): 9

Most recent: 2021-07-15 Severe Storm

Type Count
Biological 2
Dam/Levee Break 2
Flood 2
Severe Storm 2
Toxic Substances 1
Sizing formula

Required Wh = (Total Load W × Target Hours / Inverter Derate) × Safety Factor

Inverter derate: 0.70 (30% real-world loss)

Safety factor: 1.15

Rounding: Up to nearest 100 Wh

EAGLE-I outage-history metrics are currently pending for this pilot. Historical utility-reported and modeled data. Your experience may vary.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is outage risk in Michigan?

Michigan has an NRI composite risk score of 82.1 (Relatively High), with 9 federal declarations from 2014 to 2023. NRI winter weather score of 79 and composite of 82.1 reflect year-round wind and cold exposure.

What backup size should I target in Michigan?

For the primary scenario on this page (24-hour winter essential), the estimated minimum is 8,500 Wh for a 24-hour target. Refine this in the calculator with your actual devices.

Why do modeled risk and declaration history sometimes differ?

NRI is a modeled risk index based on hazard exposure, vulnerability, and expected loss. FEMA declarations reflect federally declared incidents. They answer different questions โ€” use both signals together for planning.

What are the most common outage-planning mistakes in Michigan?

Treating outage prep as a single-event problem instead of a recurring seasonal reliability issue. See the common mistakes section above for more state-specific pitfalls.