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GeneratorChecker

Power Outage Risk in New Hampshire

New Hampshire outages are more about snow, ice, and flood-driven restoration constraints than hurricane shelter logic.

New Hampshire outage planning belongs to the ice-storm, heavy-snow, and flood-recovery pattern in a small Northeast state where rural restoration access still matters outside the biggest population centers.

14 federal declarations and an NRI ice-storm top hazard, with Hillsborough the only county qualifying in the public BPI layer
FEMA National Risk Index (NRI)
78.8 / 100
Relatively Moderate
FEMA Declarations (2014-2023)
14 Major incidents
Highest Risk Window
Dec-Feb

Ice Storm, Snow, and Rural Restoration Profile

JanJunDec

What drives outage risk in New Hampshire

Hurricane 84.3
FEMA Decl.
Winter Weather 74.6
FEMA Decl.
Wildfire 45.3
FEMA Decl.
Severe Storm Not scored by NRI
FEMA Decl. 7

Why New Hampshire is different

New Hampshire's hurricane score is high, but the state aligns much more clearly with a winter-plus-flood outage case. FEMA's top modeled hazards are ice storm and river flooding, while NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by thunderstorm wind, heavy snow, flood, and winter storm events. That is a restoration-and-continuity problem, not a coastal shelter script.

The county-level medical signal is also present but narrower than in larger Northeast states. HHS emPOWER counts 10,147 electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries statewide, and Hillsborough is the only county that clears the public BPI threshold. That means planning should stay grounded: winter support first, flood recovery second, and no exaggerated claim that New Hampshire has the same dense county overlap as Massachusetts or Pennsylvania.

Notable Recent Events

Severe Storms and Flooding (2023)

FEMA DR-4740 covers New Hampshire severe storms and flooding from July 2023.

Source: FEMA DR-4740

Evidence trail

State source notes

These notes trace the editorial claims above back to FEMA, DOE, utility, or other cited records.

5 notes
  1. 1 OpenFEMA API

    FEMA declaration count (14) from OpenFEMA API, deduplicated by disaster number, DR/EM/FM types, 2014-2023.

  2. 2 FEMA NRI county layer

    NRI composite score (78.8) from FEMA NRI county layer, population-weighted to state level; top modeled hazards are Ice Storm, Riverine Flooding, and Hurricane.

  3. 3 NOAA Storm Events 2005-2024

    NOAA outage-relevant event mix is led by Thunderstorm Wind (1,637), Heavy Snow (992), Flood (442), and Winter Storm (373), with Grafton, Carroll, and Hillsborough leading county counts.

  4. 4 HHS emPOWER + GeneratorChecker BPI review

    HHS emPOWER counts 10,147 electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries statewide; Hillsborough is the only county qualifying in the public BPI layer.

  5. New Hampshire Severe Storms and Flooding DR-4740 from FEMA disaster declaration records.

Structured FEMA NRI, HHS emPOWER, NOAA Storm Events, and EIA methodology is documented separately on the methodology page.

NRI's top modeled hazard is Ice Storm, NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by Thunderstorm Wind, Heavy Snow, Flood, and Winter Storm, and the strict public BPI layer flags Hillsborough but not a broad statewide county cluster..

Historical Storm Patterns in New Hampshire

NOAA storm-event records filtered to outage-relevant event types for New Hampshire. Counts reflect historical storm-event assignments, not confirmed utility outages.

Official data GeneratorChecker analysis

Analysis window

2005-01 to 2024-12

Included storm-event records

4,066

Source as of

2026-03

Included exact NOAA event types for New Hampshire: Thunderstorm Wind, Tornado, High Wind, Strong Wind, Flash Flood, Flood, Hurricane (Typhoon), Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression, Storm Surge/Tide, Winter Storm, Ice Storm, Freezing Rain, Heavy Snow, Blizzard.

Hazard seasonality

In this filtered NOAA record set for New Hampshire, Jul has the highest monthly count (850 records) , and Thunderstorm Wind is the leading event type. This chart shows frequency in NOAA records, not how severe a specific outage may be.

Sorted Jan–Dec
Jan 345
Feb 438
Mar 327
Apr 199
May 235
Jun 350
Jul 850
Aug 427
Sep 187
Oct 220
Nov 102
Dec 386

Top outage-relevant event types

  1. 1. Thunderstorm Wind 1,637
  2. 2. Heavy Snow 992
  3. 3. Flood 442
  4. 4. Winter Storm 373
  5. 5. Flash Flood 344
  6. 6. High Wind 143

Counties with highest historical outage-relevant storm event frequency

  1. 1. GRAFTON 715

    70.3% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  2. 2. CARROLL 485

    47.0% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  3. 3. HILLSBOROUGH 471

    55.4% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  4. 4. COOS 451

    47.0% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  5. 5. CHESHIRE 442

    77.8% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  6. 6. ROCKINGHAM 417

    48.9% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

Coverage and limitations

With the current New Hampshire NWS county crosswalk, mapped forecast zones are effectively 1:1 with counties, and no unresolved forecast zones were present in this state contract.

Direct county match

58.9%

Mapped from forecast zone

41.1%

Not assigned to county ranking

0.0%

Unresolved forecast zones

0

  • Forecast-zone events with no current NWS county crosswalk entry are excluded from county-level rankings.
  • Forecast-zone events are mapped with the current NWS county crosswalk, which may not exactly match historical zone boundaries across the full analysis window.
  • Counts reflect historical NOAA storm event records, not confirmed utility outage counts.
  • Marine event types remain excluded from this state contract even when coastal impacts may be operationally relevant.

Medical Outage Sensitivity in New Hampshire

County-level HHS emPOWER counts for electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries in New Hampshire.

Official data

10,147 Medicare beneficiaries in New Hampshire have claims associated with electricity-dependent medical equipment. (HHS emPOWER, 2026-03)

County-level HHS emPOWER records for this state. Medicare enrollment data only. 10 counties are included in this state snapshot.

Counties by total count

  1. 1. Hillsborough 2,443
  2. 2. Rockingham 1,990
  3. 3. Merrimack 1,136
  4. 4. Strafford 1,003
  5. 5. Grafton 746

Counties by share of Medicare beneficiaries

Counties with at least 1,000 Medicare beneficiaries
  1. 1. Coos 4.0%
  2. 2. Sullivan 3.6%
  3. 3. Strafford 3.4%
  4. 4. Belknap 3.2%
  5. 5. Cheshire 3.1%
GeneratorChecker analysis

Counties with higher concentrations may face elevated community-level demand for backup power during outages. This does not indicate individual medical necessity.

Limitations: Reflects Medicare beneficiaries with claims associated with electricity-dependent medical equipment. Does not capture non-Medicare or uninsured populations. HHS masks cells from 1 to 10 as 11.

GeneratorChecker BPI BPI v1.0 · NOAA 2005-2024 · HHS emPOWER 2026-03

Backup Priority Index in New Hampshire

The GeneratorChecker Backup Priority Index is a county shortlist for backup planning, combining historically frequent outage-relevant storm activity with larger county counts of electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries. It is planning context, not a forecast or an outage guarantee.

Official data GeneratorChecker analysis

BPI version

v1.0

Analysis window

2005-01 to 2024-12

Matched counties

10

Counties qualify for the public BPI only when both signals land at or above the 80th percentile within the state. The shortlist excludes low-base medical counties and counties with less than 30% direct NOAA county matching.

Qualifying counties shown on the page: 1.

Top BPI counties in this state

Percentiles are computed within New Hampshire only and are not comparable across states.

Source notes
  1. 1. HILLSBOROUGH

    County FIPS 33011

    Storm frequency · Top 20% statewide Medical exposure · Top 1% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    2,443

    Storm-event records

    471

    Direct NOAA county match

    55.4%

How to read the BPI

  • BPI qualifies a county only when both the NOAA outage-relevant storm signal and the HHS emPOWER medical-count signal are at or above the 80th percentile within the state.
  • The medical signal uses total county count of electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries, not the share of beneficiaries within each county.
  • Counties with weak direct NOAA county matching stay out of the public BPI list even when their storm percentile is high.
  • Percentiles are computed within each state only and are not comparable across states.
  • The BPI is a planning layer. It does not claim a forecast, a utility reliability score, or an individualized medical-risk assessment.

Size your backup for New Hampshire

Start with winter support and medical continuity, then add refrigeration for the longer events that follow snow, ice, or flood damage.

MOST POPULAR

24-hour heating-support essential

Keep heating-system support, communications, and medical essentials online during a snow or ice outage.

Gas Furnace Fan (Blower) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

1189W

Target

24h

Minimum

46,900 Wh

This assumes your home uses a fuel-fired heating system that still depends on blower power. It does not imply a portable power station can replace electric space heating.

Size this scenario in calculator

48-hour snow and flood essentials

Add refrigeration for a longer event where snow, ice, or flood cleanup delays restoration beyond the first day.

French Door Refrigerator Gas Furnace Fan (Blower) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

1396W

Target

48h

Minimum

110,100 Wh

This is the more realistic New Hampshire case when road access and local restoration take longer than the first weather event.

Size this scenario in calculator

Critical Note: No single portable power station in our database covers the full 24-hour baseline at this load (46,900 Wh target vs. 6,144 Wh max in our current database). Use solar recharge, load rotation, or expandable systems for longer events.

Common mistakes in New Hampshire

  • Letting a high modeled hurricane score pull planning back toward a coastal-storm assumption.

  • Ignoring heavy snow and ice because flood is the most recent FEMA anchor in the public record.

  • Treating New Hampshire like suburban Boston instead of accounting for rural restoration constraints outside the main population centers.

Top mistake: Designing around a hurricane-tail scenario instead of the snow, ice, and flood events households actually see more often.

Data Sources & Methodology

NRI risk details

Composite score: 78.8 / 100

Rating: Relatively Moderate

Top modeled hazards: Ice Storm, Riverine Flooding, Hurricane

Hurricane score: 84.3

Winter Weather score: 74.6

Wildfire score: 45.3

FEMA declaration breakdown

Total (2014-2023): 14

Most recent: 2023-09-14 Flood

Type Count
Severe Storm 7
Biological 2
Flood 2
Coastal Storm 1
Fire 1
Snowstorm 1
Sizing formula

Required Wh = (Total Load W × Target Hours / Inverter Derate) × Safety Factor

Inverter derate: 0.70 (30% real-world loss)

Safety factor: 1.15

Rounding: Up to nearest 100 Wh

Historical utility-reported and modeled data. Your experience may vary.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is outage risk in New Hampshire?

New Hampshire has an NRI composite risk score of 78.8 (Relatively Moderate), with 14 federal declarations from 2014 to 2023. NRI's top modeled hazard is Ice Storm, NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by Thunderstorm Wind, Heavy Snow, Flood, and Winter Storm, and the strict public BPI layer flags Hillsborough but not a broad statewide county cluster..

What backup size should I target in New Hampshire?

For the primary scenario on this page (24-hour heating-support essential), the estimated minimum is 46,900 Wh for a 24-hour target. Refine this in the calculator with your actual devices.

Why do modeled risk and declaration history sometimes differ?

NRI is a modeled risk index based on hazard exposure, vulnerability, and expected loss. FEMA declarations reflect federally declared incidents. They answer different questions — use both signals together for planning.

What are the most common outage-planning mistakes in New Hampshire?

Designing around a hurricane-tail scenario instead of the snow, ice, and flood events households actually see more often. See the common mistakes section above for more state-specific pitfalls.