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GeneratorChecker

Power Outage Risk in New York

Flooding, winter storms, and coastal events create year-round outage risk, especially in urban and suburban areas.

19 federal declarations across 6 hazard types (2014-2023)
NRI Risk Score
91.5 / 100
Relatively High
FEMA Declarations (2014-2023)
19 Major incidents
Highest Risk Window
Year-round

Flood and Winter Reliability Constraints

JanJunDec

What drives outage risk in New York

Winter Weather 89.9
FEMA Decl.
Hurricane 87.5
FEMA Decl. 5
Wildfire 34.5
FEMA Decl.
Biological N/A
FEMA Decl. 4

Why New York is different

New York's grid vulnerability is unusual because much of its core infrastructure sits underground. Consolidated Edison, the utility serving New York City and Westchester County, relies on buried cables and substations to deliver power across one of the densest urban areas in the country. That design protects against wind and falling trees but creates a different exposure: flooding.

When Superstorm Sandy struck in October 2012, storm surge overwhelmed underground substations across Lower Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Staten Island. Con Edison reported that more than one million customers lost power, five times the outage count from Hurricane Irene a year earlier. Salt water intrusion into substation equipment required lengthy drying and testing before re-energization. The company reached 98 percent restoration within 12 days. Across the broader Northeast, the U.S. Department of Energy documented roughly 8.5 million customer outages in eight states during Sandy.

For backup sizing in the New York metro area, storm surge is the defining risk. Underground equipment damaged by flooding takes longer to repair than downed overhead lines, making outages of a week or more a realistic planning baseline even where infrastructure is buried.

Notable Recent Events

Hurricane Ida Remnants (2021)

Federal disaster declaration for severe flooding from hurricane remnants affecting the New York metro area.

Source: FEMA DR-4615

NRI winter weather score of 89.9 is the highest individual hazard score among the three tracked categories for New York.

Size your backup for New York

Prioritize essential loads and indoor-safe operation, then add comfort loads.

MOST POPULAR

Essential 12-hour backup

Core household loads for a short-duration event: refrigeration, medical support, and communications.

French Door Refrigerator WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

338W

Target

12h

Minimum

6,700 Wh

Covers most non-major weather events. Check surge compatibility for the refrigerator compressor.

Size this scenario in calculator

Extended seasonal event

Full critical-load bundle for a longer disruption, adding air circulation for comfort.

French Door Refrigerator WiFi Router Box Fan (20-inch) CPAP Machine

Load

421W

Target

24h

Minimum

16,700 Wh

For events beyond 24 hours, add solar or a second battery to extend coverage.

Size this scenario in calculator

Critical Note: No single portable power station in our database covers the full 12-hour baseline at this load (6,144 Wh max). Use solar recharge, load rotation, or expandable systems for longer events.

Data Sources & Methodology

NRI risk details

Composite score: 91.5 / 100

Rating: Relatively High

Top modeled hazards: Riverine Flooding, Winter Weather, Strong Wind

Hurricane score: 87.5

Winter Weather score: 89.9

Wildfire score: 34.5

FEMA declaration breakdown

Total (2014-2023): 19

Most recent: 2023-07-22 Severe Storm

Type Count
Hurricane 5
Biological 4
Severe Storm 3
Snowstorm 3
Flood 2
Winter Storm 2
Sizing formula

Required Wh = (Total Load W × Target Hours / Inverter Derate) × Safety Factor

Inverter derate: 0.70 (30% real-world loss)

Safety factor: 1.15

Rounding: Up to nearest 100 Wh

EAGLE-I outage-history metrics are currently pending for this pilot. Historical utility-reported and modeled data. Your experience may vary.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is outage risk in New York?

New York has an NRI composite risk score of 91.5 (Relatively High), with 19 federal declarations from 2014 to 2023. NRI winter weather score of 89.9 is the highest individual hazard score among the three tracked categories for New York.

What backup size should I target in New York?

For the primary scenario on this page (Essential 12-hour backup), the estimated minimum is 6,700 Wh for a 12-hour target. Refine this in the calculator with your actual devices.

Why do modeled risk and declaration history sometimes differ?

NRI is a modeled risk index based on hazard exposure, vulnerability, and expected loss. FEMA declarations reflect federally declared incidents. They answer different questions โ€” use both signals together for planning.

What are the most common outage-planning mistakes in New York?

Buying a high-watt model without a clear load plan, resulting in short runtime for essentials. See the common mistakes section above for more state-specific pitfalls.