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GeneratorChecker

Power Outage Risk in North Carolina

Both hurricane-season and winter ice storms cause extended outages across different parts of the state.

19 federal declarations with both hurricane and ice-storm drivers (2014-2023)
NRI Risk Score
83.6 / 100
Relatively Moderate
FEMA Declarations (2014-2023)
19 Major incidents
Highest Risk Window
Dec-Feb

Mixed Hurricane and Ice-Storm Profile

JanJunDec

What drives outage risk in North Carolina

Hurricane 84.0
FEMA Decl. 11
Winter Weather 78.0
FEMA Decl.
Wildfire 53.8
FEMA Decl. 2
Severe Storm N/A
FEMA Decl. 3

Why North Carolina is different

North Carolina's outage pattern is defined less by wind speed than by water. Duke Energy, the dominant utility in the state, experienced nearly 1.8 million total customer outages across the Carolinas during Hurricane Florence in September 2018. But the storm's most damaging characteristic was not its peak winds. Florence stalled over the coastal plain, dumping record rainfall that flooded entire counties for days after the storm had weakened.

In 12 of the hardest-hit North Carolina counties, more than 75% of Duke Energy customers lost power. Crews could not physically reach communities like Wilmington and New Bern because major highways, including Interstate 95, were impassable under floodwater. Duke Energy estimated that restoration required replacing 500 miles of power lines, 2,600 transformers, and 4,400 power poles. Full restoration took 12 days.

For backup sizing, the flooding pattern changes the equation. Outages in flood-prone eastern North Carolina are not just about the grid going down. Road closures delay utility crews, supply trucks, and fuel deliveries alike. Portable stations here need to carry enough stored energy to bridge a gap that extends well past the storm itself.

Notable Recent Events

Hurricane Florence (2018)

Federal disaster declaration for hurricane causing historic flooding across eastern North Carolina.

Source: FEMA DR-4393

Hurricane Matthew (2016)

Federal disaster declaration for hurricane causing widespread flooding and wind damage.

Source: FEMA DR-4285

NRI top hazard is Ice Storm, but Hurricane leads FEMA declarations with 11 of 19 total โ€” a dual-season risk pattern.

Size your backup for North Carolina

Model both a winter reliability case and a storm-season case before buying.

MOST POPULAR

24-hour hurricane essential

Critical loads for the first day of a hurricane outage: refrigeration, medical, communications, and air circulation.

French Door Refrigerator CPAP Machine WiFi Router Box Fan (20-inch)

Load

421W

Target

24h

Minimum

16,700 Wh

NC hurricane outages often extend beyond 24 hours. Have a solar recharge plan for day 2+.

Size this scenario in calculator

Winter ice-storm backup

Circulation fan, communications, and medical support during a winter power disruption.

Box Fan (20-inch) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

214W

Target

48h

Minimum

16,900 Wh

Ice storm recovery can take days in rural areas. Consider expandable systems for extended coverage.

Size this scenario in calculator

Critical Note: No single portable power station in our database covers the full 24-hour baseline at this load (6,144 Wh max). Use solar recharge, load rotation, or expandable systems for longer events.

Data Sources & Methodology

NRI risk details

Composite score: 83.6 / 100

Rating: Relatively Moderate

Top modeled hazards: Ice Storm, Riverine Flooding, Hurricane

Hurricane score: 84.0

Winter Weather score: 78.0

Wildfire score: 53.8

FEMA declaration breakdown

Total (2014-2023): 19

Most recent: 2022-10-01 Hurricane

Type Count
Hurricane 11
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Fire 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Sizing formula

Required Wh = (Total Load W × Target Hours / Inverter Derate) × Safety Factor

Inverter derate: 0.70 (30% real-world loss)

Safety factor: 1.15

Rounding: Up to nearest 100 Wh

EAGLE-I outage-history metrics are currently pending for this pilot. Historical utility-reported and modeled data. Your experience may vary.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is outage risk in North Carolina?

North Carolina has an NRI composite risk score of 83.6 (Relatively Moderate), with 19 federal declarations from 2014 to 2023. NRI top hazard is Ice Storm, but Hurricane leads FEMA declarations with 11 of 19 total โ€” a dual-season risk pattern.

What backup size should I target in North Carolina?

For the primary scenario on this page (24-hour hurricane essential), the estimated minimum is 16,700 Wh for a 24-hour target. Refine this in the calculator with your actual devices.

Why do modeled risk and declaration history sometimes differ?

NRI is a modeled risk index based on hazard exposure, vulnerability, and expected loss. FEMA declarations reflect federally declared incidents. They answer different questions โ€” use both signals together for planning.

What are the most common outage-planning mistakes in North Carolina?

Designing for one weather pattern only and discovering gaps when a different hazard season hits. See the common mistakes section above for more state-specific pitfalls.