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GeneratorChecker

Power Outage Risk in Wisconsin

Wisconsin outage planning is a cold-weather continuity problem first, with winter storms layered on top of repeated thunderstorm and flood exposure.

Wisconsin outage planning should start as a Great Lakes winter-support problem, not with flood recency alone.

44,777 electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries statewide, with Dane and Waukesha leading the public BPI layer
FEMA National Risk Index (NRI)
78.6 / 100
Relatively Low
FEMA Declarations (2014-2023)
9 Major incidents
Highest Risk Window
Dec-Feb

Great Lakes Winter and Storm Continuity

JanJunDec

What drives outage risk in Wisconsin

Winter Weather 70.1
FEMA Decl.
Wildfire 34.8
FEMA Decl.
Hurricane 13.4
FEMA Decl.
Flood Not scored by NRI
FEMA Decl. 5

Why Wisconsin is different

Wisconsin's strongest planning signal is cold-weather continuity, not flood recency. FEMA's top modeled hazard is Cold Wave, and NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by thunderstorm wind, winter storm, heavy snow, and flood activity. That combination fits a Great Lakes state where winter support remains central even when the most recent federal anchor includes flooding.

The county-level overlap is also more urban-suburban than a simple rural storm narrative suggests. HHS emPOWER counts 44,777 electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries statewide, and the public BPI layer flags Dane, Waukesha, Rock, Milwaukee, and Walworth. That means the practical Wisconsin case is not only rural storm prep. It is keeping refrigeration, communications, and medical continuity running through recurring winter and severe-storm disruptions in major counties.

Notable Recent Events

Severe Winter Storm and Flooding (2020)

FEMA DR-4477 covers Wisconsin severe winter storm and flooding damage from January 2020.

Source: FEMA DR-4477

Evidence trail

State source notes

These notes trace the editorial claims above back to FEMA, DOE, utility, or other cited records.

5 notes
  1. 1 OpenFEMA API

    FEMA declaration count (9) from OpenFEMA API, deduplicated by disaster number, DR/EM/FM types, 2014-2023.

  2. 2 FEMA NRI county layer

    NRI composite score (78.6) from FEMA NRI county layer, population-weighted to state level; top modeled hazards are Cold Wave, Hail, and Tornado.

  3. 3 NOAA Storm Events 2005-2024

    NOAA outage-relevant event mix is led by Thunderstorm Wind (6,544), Winter Storm (2,802), Heavy Snow (1,174), and Flood (999), with Dane, Grant, and Waukesha leading county counts.

  4. 4 HHS emPOWER + GeneratorChecker BPI review

    HHS emPOWER counts 44,777 electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries statewide; Dane, Waukesha, Rock, Milwaukee, and Walworth qualify in the public BPI layer.

  5. Wisconsin Severe Winter Storm and Flooding DR-4477 from FEMA disaster declaration records.

Structured FEMA NRI, HHS emPOWER, NOAA Storm Events, and EIA methodology is documented separately on the methodology page.

NRI's top modeled hazard is Cold Wave, while NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by Thunderstorm Wind, Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, and Flood events; Dane, Waukesha, and Rock all qualify in the public BPI layer..

Historical Storm Patterns in Wisconsin

NOAA storm-event records filtered to outage-relevant event types for Wisconsin. Counts reflect historical storm-event assignments, not confirmed utility outages.

Official data GeneratorChecker analysis

Analysis window

2005-01 to 2024-12

Included storm-event records

14,105

Source as of

2026-03

Included exact NOAA event types for Wisconsin: Thunderstorm Wind, Tornado, High Wind, Strong Wind, Flash Flood, Flood, Winter Storm, Ice Storm, Freezing Rain, Heavy Snow, Blizzard.

Hazard seasonality

In this filtered NOAA record set for Wisconsin, Jul has the highest monthly count (2,651 records) , and Thunderstorm Wind is the leading event type. This chart shows frequency in NOAA records, not how severe a specific outage may be.

Sorted Jan–Dec
Jan 843
Feb 1,247
Mar 915
Apr 857
May 1,061
Jun 2,301
Jul 2,651
Aug 1,482
Sep 801
Oct 349
Nov 333
Dec 1,265

Top outage-relevant event types

  1. 1. Thunderstorm Wind 6,544
  2. 2. Winter Storm 2,802
  3. 3. Heavy Snow 1,174
  4. 4. Flood 999
  5. 5. Flash Flood 730
  6. 6. Strong Wind 706

Counties with highest historical outage-relevant storm event frequency

  1. 1. DANE 397

    77.3% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  2. 2. GRANT 386

    83.2% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  3. 3. WAUKESHA 339

    71.4% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  4. 4. ROCK 331

    73.1% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  5. 5. VERNON 331

    81.3% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  6. 6. LA CROSSE 325

    80.6% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

Coverage and limitations

With the current Wisconsin NWS county crosswalk, mapped forecast zones are effectively 1:1 with counties, and no unresolved forecast zones were present in this state contract.

Direct county match

63.0%

Mapped from forecast zone

37.0%

Not assigned to county ranking

0.0%

Unresolved forecast zones

0

  • Forecast-zone events with no current NWS county crosswalk entry are excluded from county-level rankings.
  • Forecast-zone events are mapped with the current NWS county crosswalk, which may not exactly match historical zone boundaries across the full analysis window.
  • Counts reflect historical NOAA storm event records, not confirmed utility outage counts.
  • Marine event types remain excluded from this state contract even when coastal impacts may be operationally relevant.

Medical Outage Sensitivity in Wisconsin

County-level HHS emPOWER counts for electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries in Wisconsin.

Official data

44,777 Medicare beneficiaries in Wisconsin have claims associated with electricity-dependent medical equipment. (HHS emPOWER, 2026-03)

County-level HHS emPOWER records for this state. Medicare enrollment data only. 72 counties are included in this state snapshot.

Counties by total count

  1. 1. Milwaukee 6,019
  2. 2. Waukesha 2,896
  3. 3. Dane 2,643
  4. 4. Racine 1,884
  5. 5. Brown 1,469

Counties by share of Medicare beneficiaries

Counties with at least 1,000 Medicare beneficiaries
  1. 1. Clark 5.1%
  2. 2. Chippewa 4.6%
  3. 3. Iron 4.6%
  4. 4. Barron 4.5%
  5. 5. Green Lake 4.5%
GeneratorChecker analysis

Counties with higher concentrations may face elevated community-level demand for backup power during outages. This does not indicate individual medical necessity.

Limitations: Reflects Medicare beneficiaries with claims associated with electricity-dependent medical equipment. Does not capture non-Medicare or uninsured populations. HHS masks cells from 1 to 10 as 11.

GeneratorChecker BPI BPI v1.0 · NOAA 2005-2024 · HHS emPOWER 2026-03

Backup Priority Index in Wisconsin

The GeneratorChecker Backup Priority Index is a county shortlist for backup planning, combining historically frequent outage-relevant storm activity with larger county counts of electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries. It is planning context, not a forecast or an outage guarantee.

Official data GeneratorChecker analysis

BPI version

v1.0

Analysis window

2005-01 to 2024-12

Matched counties

72

Counties qualify for the public BPI only when both signals land at or above the 80th percentile within the state. The shortlist excludes low-base medical counties and counties with less than 30% direct NOAA county matching.

Qualifying counties shown on the page: 5.

Top BPI counties in this state

Percentiles are computed within Wisconsin only and are not comparable across states.

Source notes
  1. 1. DANE

    County FIPS 55025

    Storm frequency · Top 1% statewide Medical exposure · Top 3% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    2,643

    Storm-event records

    397

    Direct NOAA county match

    77.3%

  2. 2. WAUKESHA

    County FIPS 55133

    Storm frequency · Top 3% statewide Medical exposure · Top 1% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    2,896

    Storm-event records

    339

    Direct NOAA county match

    71.4%

  3. 3. ROCK

    County FIPS 55105

    Storm frequency · Top 4% statewide Medical exposure · Top 7% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    1,389

    Storm-event records

    331

    Direct NOAA county match

    73.1%

  4. 4. MILWAUKEE

    County FIPS 55079

    Storm frequency · Top 12% statewide Medical exposure · Top 1% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    6,019

    Storm-event records

    262

    Direct NOAA county match

    58.0%

  5. 5. WALWORTH

    County FIPS 55127

    Storm frequency · Top 11% statewide Medical exposure · Top 19% statewide

    At-risk Medicare count

    822

    Storm-event records

    273

    Direct NOAA county match

    65.6%

How to read the BPI

  • BPI qualifies a county only when both the NOAA outage-relevant storm signal and the HHS emPOWER medical-count signal are at or above the 80th percentile within the state.
  • The medical signal uses total county count of electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries, not the share of beneficiaries within each county.
  • Counties with weak direct NOAA county matching stay out of the public BPI list even when their storm percentile is high.
  • Percentiles are computed within each state only and are not comparable across states.
  • The BPI is a planning layer. It does not claim a forecast, a utility reliability score, or an individualized medical-risk assessment.

Size your backup for Wisconsin

Treat winter support as the base case, then add enough runtime for food and medical continuity in a multi-day storm.

MOST POPULAR

24-hour heating-support essential

Keep heating-system support, communications, and medical essentials online during a winter outage.

Gas Furnace Fan (Blower) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

1189W

Target

24h

Minimum

46,900 Wh

This assumes your home uses a fuel-fired heating system that still depends on blower power. It does not imply a portable power station can replace electric space heating.

Size this scenario in calculator

48-hour winter essentials

Add refrigeration for a longer cold-weather outage where snow, ice, or storm cleanup extends the disruption.

French Door Refrigerator Gas Furnace Fan (Blower) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

1396W

Target

48h

Minimum

110,100 Wh

This is the more realistic Wisconsin case for maintaining food, communications, and medical continuity through a multi-day winter event.

Size this scenario in calculator

Critical Note: No single portable power station in our database covers the full 24-hour baseline at this load (46,900 Wh target vs. 6,144 Wh max in our current database). Use solar recharge, load rotation, or expandable systems for longer events.

Common mistakes in Wisconsin

  • Letting the most recent flood declaration define the whole page when Wisconsin's stronger practical signal is cold-weather continuity.

  • Ignoring winter-support loads because summer storms and floods also appear in the declaration record.

  • Sizing around phones and lights only when refrigeration and medical continuity matter in major counties.

Top mistake: Buying for a short convenience outage when the realistic Wisconsin case is a longer cold-weather interruption.

Data Sources & Methodology

NRI risk details

Composite score: 78.6 / 100

Rating: Relatively Low

Top modeled hazards: Cold Wave, Hail, Tornado

Hurricane score: 13.4

Winter Weather score: 70.1

Wildfire score: 34.8

FEMA declaration breakdown

Total (2014-2023): 9

Most recent: 2020-04-04 Biological

Type Count
Flood 5
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Sizing formula

Required Wh = (Total Load W × Target Hours / Inverter Derate) × Safety Factor

Inverter derate: 0.70 (30% real-world loss)

Safety factor: 1.15

Rounding: Up to nearest 100 Wh

Historical utility-reported and modeled data. Your experience may vary.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is outage risk in Wisconsin?

Wisconsin has an NRI composite risk score of 78.6 (Relatively Low), with 9 federal declarations from 2014 to 2023. NRI's top modeled hazard is Cold Wave, while NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by Thunderstorm Wind, Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, and Flood events; Dane, Waukesha, and Rock all qualify in the public BPI layer..

What backup size should I target in Wisconsin?

For the primary scenario on this page (24-hour heating-support essential), the estimated minimum is 46,900 Wh for a 24-hour target. Refine this in the calculator with your actual devices.

Why do modeled risk and declaration history sometimes differ?

NRI is a modeled risk index based on hazard exposure, vulnerability, and expected loss. FEMA declarations reflect federally declared incidents. They answer different questions — use both signals together for planning.

What are the most common outage-planning mistakes in Wisconsin?

Buying for a short convenience outage when the realistic Wisconsin case is a longer cold-weather interruption. See the common mistakes section above for more state-specific pitfalls.