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GeneratorChecker

Power Outage Risk in Oklahoma

Ice storms and severe weather drive repeated outage events, concentrated in winter and spring.

56 federal declarations in 10 years โ€” second highest in this pilot (2014-2023)
NRI Risk Score
82.3 / 100
Relatively High
FEMA Declarations (2014-2023)
56 Major incidents
Highest Risk Window
Dec-Feb

Ice and Severe Storm Preparedness

JanJunDec

What drives outage risk in Oklahoma

Wildfire 86.9
FEMA Decl. 19
Winter Weather 80.5
FEMA Decl.
Hurricane 38.3
FEMA Decl.
Biological N/A
FEMA Decl. 17

Why Oklahoma is different

Oklahoma's grid threat is not hurricanes but ice. The state sits in a corridor where warm Gulf moisture collides with Arctic air masses, producing ice storms that coat power lines and tree limbs with accumulations that can exceed one inch. In October 2020, an unusually early ice storm struck while trees still carried full foliage. The added surface area on leaves trapped far more ice than bare winter branches would, and the result was severe: more than 370,000 customers lost power statewide.

Oklahoma Gas & Electric, the state's largest utility serving roughly 700,000 customers, called it the second-largest storm in company history. Rural electric cooperatives reported over 4,200 destroyed poles and 9,000 damaged cross arms, with estimated infrastructure damage exceeding 26 million dollars. Some cooperative members did not regain power for more than two weeks.

For backup sizing, ice storms present a distinct challenge. They tend to strike during cold weather, when heating loads are high and solar recharge hours are at their shortest. A portable station sized only for summer cooling will fall short during a winter ice event that demands sustained heating support.

Notable Recent Events

Severe Ice Storm (2020)

Federal disaster declaration for severe ice storms causing widespread power outages and infrastructure damage.

Source: FEMA DR-4575

Severe Storms and Tornadoes (2019)

Federal disaster declaration for severe storms and tornadoes causing widespread damage across central Oklahoma.

Source: FEMA DR-4438

NRI top hazard is Ice Storm, but Fire leads FEMA declarations with 19 of 56 total โ€” a mix of wildfire and severe weather.

Size your backup for Oklahoma

Use winter outage assumptions for baseline and keep surge headroom for compressors.

MOST POPULAR

24-hour winter essential

Circulation fan, communications, and medical support during a winter outage.

Box Fan (20-inch) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

214W

Target

24h

Minimum

8,500 Wh

Fan is for air circulation, not heating โ€” power stations cannot safely run resistive heaters.

Size this scenario in calculator

Extended cold snap

Add refrigeration to preserve food during a multi-day grid outage.

French Door Refrigerator Box Fan (20-inch) WiFi Router CPAP Machine

Load

421W

Target

48h

Minimum

33,300 Wh

Consider expandable systems or solar for events beyond 48 hours.

Size this scenario in calculator

Critical Note: No single portable power station in our database covers the full 24-hour baseline at this load (6,144 Wh max). Use solar recharge, load rotation, or expandable systems for longer events.

Data Sources & Methodology

NRI risk details

Composite score: 82.3 / 100

Rating: Relatively High

Top modeled hazards: Ice Storm, Tornado, Heat Wave

Hurricane score: 38.3

Winter Weather score: 80.5

Wildfire score: 86.9

FEMA declaration breakdown

Total (2014-2023): 56

Most recent: 2023-07-19 Severe Storm

Type Count
Fire 19
Biological 17
Severe Storm 12
Severe Ice Storm 4
Flood 2
Tornado 2
Sizing formula

Required Wh = (Total Load W × Target Hours / Inverter Derate) × Safety Factor

Inverter derate: 0.70 (30% real-world loss)

Safety factor: 1.15

Rounding: Up to nearest 100 Wh

EAGLE-I outage-history metrics are currently pending for this pilot. Historical utility-reported and modeled data. Your experience may vary.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is outage risk in Oklahoma?

Oklahoma has an NRI composite risk score of 82.3 (Relatively High), with 56 federal declarations from 2014 to 2023. NRI top hazard is Ice Storm, but Fire leads FEMA declarations with 19 of 56 total โ€” a mix of wildfire and severe weather.

What backup size should I target in Oklahoma?

For the primary scenario on this page (24-hour winter essential), the estimated minimum is 8,500 Wh for a 24-hour target. Refine this in the calculator with your actual devices.

Why do modeled risk and declaration history sometimes differ?

NRI is a modeled risk index based on hazard exposure, vulnerability, and expected loss. FEMA declarations reflect federally declared incidents. They answer different questions โ€” use both signals together for planning.

What are the most common outage-planning mistakes in Oklahoma?

Assuming any large-capacity station can start critical motors without validating surge margins. See the common mistakes section above for more state-specific pitfalls.