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GeneratorChecker

Power Outage Risk in Washington

Washington's outage planning splits between dense-corridor continuity around Puget Sound and very different inland wind, snow, and wildfire exposures east of the Cascades.

Washington's county signals point in two directions at once: King, Pierce, and Snohomish lead the medical-load totals around Puget Sound, while Spokane, Stevens, Pend Oreille, Okanogan, and Douglas lead the NOAA event record east of the Cascades.

86 federal declarations in 10 years, with no counties clearing the public BPI threshold and King, Pierce, Spokane, Snohomish, and Clark carrying the state's largest medical-device totals (2014-2023)
FEMA National Risk Index (NRI)
92.8 / 100
Relatively Moderate
FEMA Declarations (2014-2023)
86 Major incidents
Highest Risk Window
Multi-season

Mixed Puget Sound, Inland-Wind, and Winter Risk

JanJunDec

What drives outage risk in Washington

Winter Weather 81.1
FEMA Decl.
Wildfire 74.2
FEMA Decl. 70
Hurricane 0.0
FEMA Decl.
Flood Not scored by NRI
FEMA Decl. 6

Why Washington is different

Washington's practical outage risk is split between dense Puget Sound continuity and eastern inland weather exposure. Heavy snow leads the NOAA event record, high wind sits second, and flood remains meaningful, which makes the state's statewide outage mix broader than a fire-led or winter-only description.

There is also no public top-priority BPI county layer in Washington. The strongest county signal comes from HHS emPOWER, with King, Pierce, Spokane, Snohomish, and Clark carrying the largest medical-device totals. That supports a dense-corridor baseline even while the NOAA event leaders sit farther inland.

The recent fire declaration is too narrow for Washington's statewide outage mix. DR-4682 covers severe winter storm, straight-line wind, flooding, landslides, and mudslides from the November 2022 event, which matches Washington's split continuity problem much more closely than another fire declaration would.

Notable Recent Events

Washington Severe Winter Storm, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides (2023)

FEMA DR-4682 covers Washington's November 2022 severe winter storm, straight-line winds, flooding, landslides, and mudslides, declared in January 2023; a stronger statewide fit than the more recent fire declaration for the state's actual split between dense-corridor continuity and inland weather exposure.

Source: FEMA DR-4682

Evidence trail

State source notes

These notes trace the editorial claims above back to FEMA, DOE, utility, or other cited records.

5 notes
  1. 1 OpenFEMA API

    FEMA declaration count (86) from OpenFEMA API, deduplicated by disaster number, DR/EM/FM types, 2014-2023; Washington's mix in this window includes Fire (70), Flood (6), Severe Storm (5), Biological (3), and Mud/Landslide (2).

  2. 2 FEMA NRI county layer

    NRI composite score (92.8) from FEMA NRI county layer, population-weighted to state level; top modeled hazards are Earthquake, Landslide, and Riverine Flooding.

  3. 3 NOAA Storm Events 2005-2024

    NOAA outage-relevant event mix is led by Heavy Snow (2,632), High Wind (1,232), Thunderstorm Wind (444), Flood (395), and Strong Wind (287), with Spokane, Stevens, Pend Oreille, Okanogan, and Douglas leading county counts.

  4. 4 HHS emPOWER + GeneratorChecker BPI review

    Washington has no public top-priority BPI counties in the GeneratorChecker cross-signal layer. HHS emPOWER counts 51,731 electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries statewide, with King (8,547), Pierce (5,866), Spokane (5,460), Snohomish (4,226), and Clark (3,530) as the largest county totals.

  5. Washington's most recent fire declaration is FM-5481, while DR-4682 covers the broader winter, wind, flood, landslide, and mudslide mix from the November 2022 event. DR-4635 remains a secondary non-fire fallback from the same 2014-2023 window.

Structured FEMA NRI, HHS emPOWER, NOAA Storm Events, and EIA methodology is documented separately on the methodology page.

NRI's top modeled hazards are Earthquake, Landslide, and Riverine Flooding, while NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by Heavy Snow, High Wind, Thunderstorm Wind, Flood, and Strong Wind events..

Historical Storm Patterns in Washington

NOAA storm-event records filtered to outage-relevant event types for Washington. Counts reflect historical storm-event assignments, not confirmed utility outages.

Official data GeneratorChecker analysis

Analysis window

2005-01 to 2024-12

Included storm-event records

5,556

Source as of

2026-03

Included exact NOAA event types for Washington: Thunderstorm Wind, Tornado, High Wind, Strong Wind, Flash Flood, Flood, Winter Storm, Ice Storm, Freezing Rain, Heavy Snow, Blizzard.

Hazard seasonality

In this filtered NOAA record set for Washington, Jan has the highest monthly count (1,231 records) , and Heavy Snow is the leading event type. This chart shows frequency in NOAA records, not how severe a specific outage may be.

Sorted Janโ€“Dec
Jan 1,231
Feb 755
Mar 407
Apr 192
May 227
Jun 191
Jul 143
Aug 111
Sep 149
Oct 211
Nov 729
Dec 1,210

Top outage-relevant event types

  1. 1. Heavy Snow 2,632

    1,124 events were not mapped to a county ranking.

  2. 2. High Wind 1,232

    846 events were not mapped to a county ranking.

  3. 3. Thunderstorm Wind 444
  4. 4. Flood 395

    12 events were not mapped to a county ranking.

  5. 5. Strong Wind 287

    184 events were not mapped to a county ranking.

  6. 6. Winter Storm 230

    159 events were not mapped to a county ranking.

Counties with highest historical outage-relevant storm event frequency

  1. 1. SPOKANE 951

    12.3% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  2. 2. STEVENS 501

    9.8% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  3. 3. PEND OREILLE 491

    7.9% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  4. 4. OKANOGAN 485

    22.7% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  5. 5. DOUGLAS 406

    4.4% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

  6. 6. LINCOLN 375

    8.5% of listed records were matched directly to this county.

Coverage and limitations

Forecast-zone events in Washington are assigned to counties using the current NWS county crosswalk. Some forecast zones expand to multiple counties; unresolved legacy, coastal, and sub-county forecast zones fall into the excluded bucket.

Direct county match

18.7%

Mapped from forecast zone

38.1%

Not assigned to county ranking

43.2%

Unresolved forecast zones

54

  • Forecast-zone events with no current NWS county crosswalk entry are excluded from county-level rankings.
  • Forecast-zone events are mapped with the current NWS county crosswalk, which may not exactly match historical zone boundaries across the full analysis window.
  • Counts reflect historical NOAA storm event records, not confirmed utility outage counts.
  • Marine event types remain excluded from this state contract even when coastal impacts may be operationally relevant.

Medical Outage Sensitivity in Washington

County-level HHS emPOWER counts for electricity-dependent Medicare beneficiaries in Washington.

Official data

51,731 Medicare beneficiaries in Washington have claims associated with electricity-dependent medical equipment. (HHS emPOWER, 2026-03)

County-level HHS emPOWER records for this state. Medicare enrollment data only. 39 counties are included in this state snapshot.

Counties by total count

  1. 1. King 8,547
  2. 2. Pierce 5,866
  3. 3. Spokane 5,460
  4. 4. Snohomish 4,226
  5. 5. Clark 3,530

Counties by share of Medicare beneficiaries

Counties with at least 1,000 Medicare beneficiaries
  1. 1. Ferry 7.0%
  2. 2. Asotin 5.7%
  3. 3. Whitman 5.2%
  4. 4. Grays Harbor 5.1%
  5. 5. Stevens 5.0%

Counties with higher concentrations may face elevated community-level demand for backup power during outages. This does not indicate individual medical necessity.

Limitations: Reflects Medicare beneficiaries with claims associated with electricity-dependent medical equipment. Does not capture non-Medicare or uninsured populations. HHS masks cells from 1 to 10 as 11.

Size your backup for Washington

Use a 24-hour Puget Sound continuity bundle as the baseline, then extend to 48 hours with heating-system support for inland wind and winter outages.

MOST POPULAR

24-hour Puget Sound continuity

Primary Washington metro scenario: storm or local outage interrupts refrigeration, communications, medical support, and basic work continuity across the dense Puget Sound corridor.

French Door Refrigerator WiFi Router CPAP Machine Laptop

Load

698W

Target

24h

Minimum

27,600 Wh

This is the dense-corridor baseline for Puget Sound and other major population centers.

Size this scenario in calculator

48-hour inland wind-and-winter support

Extended Washington scenario: inland wind, snow, or storm outage where food preservation, communications, medical support, and a gas-heating blower all need to stay online.

French Door Refrigerator WiFi Router CPAP Machine Gas Furnace Fan (Blower)

Load

1396W

Target

48h

Minimum

110,100 Wh

This scenario adds heating-system support and does not model electric resistance heating.

Size this scenario in calculator

Critical Note: No single portable power station in our database covers the full 24-hour baseline at this load (27,600 Wh target vs. 6,144 Wh max in our current database). Use solar recharge, load rotation, or expandable systems for longer events.

Data Sources & Methodology

NRI risk details

Composite score: 92.8 / 100

Rating: Relatively Moderate

Top modeled hazards: Earthquake, Landslide, Riverine Flooding

Hurricane score: 0.0

Winter Weather score: 81.1

Wildfire score: 74.2

FEMA declaration breakdown

Total (2014-2023): 86

Most recent: 2023-08-19 Fire

Type Count
Fire 70
Flood 6
Severe Storm 5
Biological 3
Mud/Landslide 2
Sizing formula

Required Wh = (Total Load W × Target Hours / Inverter Derate) × Safety Factor

Inverter derate: 0.70 (30% real-world loss)

Safety factor: 1.15

Rounding: Up to nearest 100 Wh

Historical utility-reported and modeled data. Your experience may vary.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is outage risk in Washington?

Washington has an NRI composite risk score of 92.8 (Relatively Moderate), with 86 federal declarations from 2014 to 2023. NRI's top modeled hazards are Earthquake, Landslide, and Riverine Flooding, while NOAA's outage-relevant record is led by Heavy Snow, High Wind, Thunderstorm Wind, Flood, and Strong Wind events..

What backup size should I target in Washington?

For the primary scenario on this page (24-hour Puget Sound continuity), the estimated minimum is 27,600 Wh for a 24-hour target. Refine this in the calculator with your actual devices.

Why do modeled risk and declaration history sometimes differ?

NRI is a modeled risk index based on hazard exposure, vulnerability, and expected loss. FEMA declarations reflect federally declared incidents. They answer different questions โ€” use both signals together for planning.

What are the most common outage-planning mistakes in Washington?

Buying for one side of the state only and missing that Washington has both a dense-corridor continuity case and an inland duration case. See the common mistakes section above for more state-specific pitfalls.